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Per Polymarket è uno scenario probabile</h1> <div class="jeg_meta_container"><div class="jeg_post_meta jeg_post_meta_2"> <div class="jeg_meta_author"> <div class="avatar-wrapper"><img alt='Clara Rosati' src='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/ea9d8bab077637f81f917d72fbea674b39c9ee6cae263e33eb4efb7d30527653?s=80&d=mm&r=g' srcset='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/ea9d8bab077637f81f917d72fbea674b39c9ee6cae263e33eb4efb7d30527653?s=160&d=mm&r=g 2x' class='avatar avatar-80 photo' height='80' width='80' decoding='async'/></div> <div class="jeg_meta_author_text"> <span class="meta_text">by</span> <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/author/clararosati/">Clara Rosati</a> <div class="meta_text">Copywriter</div> </div> </div> <div class="jeg_meta_date_and_category"> <div class="jeg_meta_date"> <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/bitcoin-verso-i-125-000-per-polymarket-e-uno-scenario-probabile/"> 2 days ago </a> </div> <div class="meta-text middot">·</div> <div class="jeg_meta_category"> <span><span class="meta_text">Posted in</span> <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/category/uncategorized/" rel="category tag">Uncategorized</a> </span> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="jeg_ad jeg_article_top jnews_article_top_ads"> <div class='ads-wrapper '><div class='ads_code'><!-- Leaderboard Main (1200x90) [asyncbeta] --> <script type="text/javascript">if (!window.AdButler){(function(){var s = document.createElement("script"); 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s.type = "text/javascript";s.src = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/app.js';var n = document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0]; n.parentNode.insertBefore(s, n);}());}</script> <div class="plc583862"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> var AdButler = AdButler || {}; AdButler.ads = AdButler.ads || []; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var plc583862 = window.plc583862 || 0; (function(){ var divs = document.querySelectorAll(".plc583862:not([id])"); var div = divs[divs.length-1]; div.id = "placement_583862_"+plc583862; AdButler.ads.push({handler: function(opt){ AdButler.register(172179, 583862, [150,45], 'placement_583862_'+opt.place, opt); }, opt: { place: plc583862++, keywords: abkw, domain: 'servedbyadbutler.com', click:'CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER' }}); })(); </script> </div> </div></div></div></div> <div class="entry-content no-share"> <div class="jeg_share_button share-float jeg_sticky_share clearfix share-monocrhome"> <div class="jeg_share_float_container"></div> </div> <div class="content-inner "> <div class="trusted-editorial-content trusted-editorial-content--top"> <img src="https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/safe.png" class="trusted-editorial-content__icon"> <div class="trusted-editorial-content__text"><u>Trusted Editorial</u> content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. <a href="#" target="_blank">Ad Disclosure</a></div> </div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">I trader su una piattaforma decentralizzata stanno scommettendo denaro reale sul percorso di Bitcoin questo mese. Secondo un nuovo sondaggio su </span><b>Polymarket</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">, il 36% dei partecipanti crede che Bitcoin supererà i </span><b>125.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;"> entro il </span><b>31 luglio</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">.</span></p> <h2><span style="font-weight: 400;">Previsioni più caute per livelli superiori</span></h2> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Solo l’11% pensa che BTC possa salire oltre i </span><b>130.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">, mentre appena il 3% e l’1% scommettono su un raggiungimento rispettivamente di </span><b>140.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;"> e </span><b>150.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">. Nella mattinata di martedì, il </span><a href="https://bit-coinist.de/comprare-bitcoin-con-paypal/"><b>prezzo di Bitcoin </b></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">era intorno a </span><b>118.327 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">, poco sotto il massimo storico di </span><b>123.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;"> toccato la scorsa settimana.</span></p><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article jnews_content_inline_ads "><div class='ads-wrapper align-center '><div class='ads_shortcode'><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Wide 1 (728x90) [asyncbeta] --> <script type="text/javascript">if (!window.AdButler){(function(){var s = document.createElement("script"); s.async = true; s.type = "text/javascript";s.src = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/app.js';var n = document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0]; n.parentNode.insertBefore(s, n);}());}</script> <div class="plc367529"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> var AdButler = AdButler || {}; AdButler.ads = AdButler.ads || []; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var plc367529 = window.plc367529 || 0; (function(){ var divs = document.querySelectorAll(".plc367529:not([id])"); var div = divs[divs.length-1]; div.id = "placement_367529_"+plc367529; AdButler.ads.push({handler: function(opt){ AdButler.register(172179, 367529, [728,90], 'placement_367529_'+opt.place, opt); }, opt: { place: plc367529++, keywords: abkw, domain: 'servedbyadbutler.com', click:'CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER' }}); })(); </script> </div> </div> </div></div></div></div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Il dato chiave? La maggior parte delle scommesse si concentra su un obiettivo realistico e raggiungibile nel breve termine. Questo riflette un mercato in equilibrio tra ambizione e cautela. Con un gap del 6% rispetto ai livelli attuali, molti trader ritengono che i 125.000 $ possano rappresentare il prossimo step tecnico e psicologico.</span></p> <h2><span style="font-weight: 400;">Polymarket accende il dibattito</span></h2> <p><a href="https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july/will-bitcoin-reach-140k-in-july-671?tid=1753122654556" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Secondo i dati pubblicati da Polymarket</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, la maggior parte delle scommesse è focalizzata sul raggiungimento dei </span><b>125.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">, con molto meno entusiasmo per livelli più alti. Le probabilità si assottigliano oltre quota 130K, con appena l’1% dei partecipanti che immagina uno scenario da 150.000 $ entro fine mese.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Il sondaggio riflette quindi </span><b>un ottimismo cauto</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">. Sebbene ci sia fiducia nella resilienza del trend rialzista, la maggioranza degli utenti rimane ancorata a previsioni più moderate.</span></p><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article jnews_content_inline_2_ads "><div class='ads-wrapper align-center '><div class='ads_shortcode'><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Text Banner 2 [javascript] --> <script type="text/javascript"> var rnd = window.rnd || Math.floor(Math.random()*10e6); var pid609692 = window.pid609692 || rnd; var plc609692 = window.plc609692 || 0; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var absrc = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/adserve/;ID=172179;size=0x0;setID=609692;type=js;sw='+screen.width+';sh='+screen.height+';spr='+window.devicePixelRatio+';kw='+abkw+';pid='+pid609692+';place='+(plc609692++)+';rnd='+rnd+';click=CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER'; document.write('<scr'+'ipt src="'+absrc+'" type="text/javascript"></scr'+'ipt>'); </script> </div> </div> </div> <div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Wide 2 (728x90) [asyncbeta] --> <script type="text/javascript">if (!window.AdButler){(function(){var s = document.createElement("script"); s.async = true; s.type = "text/javascript";s.src = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/app.js';var n = document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0]; n.parentNode.insertBefore(s, n);}());}</script> <div class="plc476001"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> var AdButler = AdButler || {}; AdButler.ads = AdButler.ads || []; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var plc476001 = window.plc476001 || 0; (function(){ var divs = document.querySelectorAll(".plc476001:not([id])"); var div = divs[divs.length-1]; div.id = "placement_476001_"+plc476001; AdButler.ads.push({handler: function(opt){ AdButler.register(172179, 476001, [728,90], 'placement_476001_'+opt.place, opt); }, opt: { place: plc476001++, keywords: abkw, domain: 'servedbyadbutler.com', click:'CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER' }}); })(); </script> </div> </div> </div></div></div></div> <figure id="attachment_538338" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-538338" style="width: 1024px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" class="wp-image-538338 size-full" src="https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/bitcoinist-BTC-2.png?resize=1024%2C686" alt="" width="1024" height="686" srcset="https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/bitcoinist-BTC-2.png?w=1305 1305w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/bitcoinist-BTC-2.png?w=627 627w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/bitcoinist-BTC-2.png?w=768 768w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/bitcoinist-BTC-2.png?w=980 980w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/bitcoinist-BTC-2.png?w=750 750w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/bitcoinist-BTC-2.png?w=1140 1140w" sizes="(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-538338" class="wp-caption-text">FONTE: <a href="https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-july/will-bitcoin-reach-140k-in-july-671?tid=1753122654556" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">Polymarket </a></figcaption></figure> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">A supporto di questa visione, i dati tecnici mostrano che Bitcoin è reduce da un trend positivo ma non esente da volatilità. Dopo il rally partito a metà 2023, il prezzo ha trascorso gran parte di luglio testando la </span><b>resistenza psicologica dei 120.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">, senza consolidare una chiusura giornaliera nettamente superiore.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Un superamento deciso dei </span><b>125.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;"> potrebbe aprire spazio per nuovi massimi. Ma se la pressione in vendita dovesse aumentare, un ritorno verso i </span><b>110.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;"> non sarebbe da escludere, in particolare in caso di segnali macroeconomici sfavorevoli.</span></p><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article jnews_content_inline_3_ads "><div class='ads-wrapper align-center '><div class='ads_shortcode'><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Text Banner 3 [javascript] --> <script type="text/javascript"> var rnd = window.rnd || Math.floor(Math.random()*10e6); var pid609693 = window.pid609693 || rnd; var plc609693 = window.plc609693 || 0; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var absrc = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/adserve/;ID=172179;size=0x0;setID=609693;type=js;sw='+screen.width+';sh='+screen.height+';spr='+window.devicePixelRatio+';kw='+abkw+';pid='+pid609693+';place='+(plc609693++)+';rnd='+rnd+';click=CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER'; document.write('<scr'+'ipt src="'+absrc+'" type="text/javascript"></scr'+'ipt>'); </script> </div> </div> </div> <div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Wide 3 (728x90) [asyncbeta] --> <script type="text/javascript">if (!window.AdButler){(function(){var s = document.createElement("script"); s.async = true; s.type = "text/javascript";s.src = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/app.js';var n = document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0]; n.parentNode.insertBefore(s, n);}());}</script> <div class="plc476002"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> var AdButler = AdButler || {}; AdButler.ads = AdButler.ads || []; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var plc476002 = window.plc476002 || 0; (function(){ var divs = document.querySelectorAll(".plc476002:not([id])"); var div = divs[divs.length-1]; div.id = "placement_476002_"+plc476002; AdButler.ads.push({handler: function(opt){ AdButler.register(172179, 476002, [728,90], 'placement_476002_'+opt.place, opt); }, opt: { place: plc476002++, keywords: abkw, domain: 'servedbyadbutler.com', click:'CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER' }}); })(); </script> </div> </div> </div></div></div></div> <figure id="attachment_538335" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-538335" style="width: 1024px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img data-recalc-dims="1" loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-538335 size-full" src="https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?resize=1024%2C481" alt="" width="1024" height="481" srcset="https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=2315 2315w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=640 640w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=768 768w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=980 980w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=104 104w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=83 83w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=1536 1536w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=2048 2048w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=750 750w, https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/trading-view-bitcoinist.png?w=1140 1140w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-538335" class="wp-caption-text">FONTE: <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/x/o6pr8VxJ/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">Trading View</a></figcaption></figure> <h2><span style="font-weight: 400;">Trump Media punta forte su Bitcoin</span></h2> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Il 21 luglio,<strong> Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. ha annunciato di detenere oltre 2 miliardi $ in asset Bitcoin.</strong> Questa somma rappresenta la parte dominante dei circa 3 miliardi $ di liquidità in bilancio.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Il CEO Devin Nunes ha dichiarato che l’allocazione è strategica, con l’obiettivo di garantire “libertà finanziaria” all’azienda e di supportare un futuro utility token pensato per la piattaforma social Truth Social.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Operazioni di questo tipo hanno un impatto importante sul sentiment di mercato. L’ingresso di una società mediatica quotata tra i grandi detentori di BTC potrebbe innescare ulteriori ondate di acquisti istituzionali e rafforzare la percezione del Bitcoin come asset strategico e “mainstream”.</span></p> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true"> <p lang="en" dir="ltr">I just signed the landmark legislation passed today by House Republicans to strengthen American crypto innovation.</p> <p>The CLARITY Act, GENIUS Act, and Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act deliver on President Trump’s vision to make crypto a core pillar of the U.S. economy and ensure… <a href="https://t.co/rnJgq3KaV2" rel="nofollow">pic.twitter.com/rnJgq3KaV2</a></p> <p>— Speaker Mike Johnson (@SpeakerJohnson) <a href="https://twitter.com/SpeakerJohnson/status/1945973161549287861?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">July 17, 2025</a></p></blockquote> <p></p> <h2><span style="font-weight: 400;">Le nuove regole USA sugli stablecoin</span></h2> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Sul fronte normativo, il settore crypto ha ricevuto una spinta rilevante. Il presidente Donald Trump ha recentemente firmato il </span><b>GENIUS Act</b> <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/crypto/genius-act-new-crypto-law-stablecoins-explained-rcna219658" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;">(Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins)</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, una legge che definisce regole chiare per le stablecoin ancorate al dollaro.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Secondo il testo approvato, le stablecoin dovranno essere supportate da </span><b>cash o titoli del Tesoro USA</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">, prevedere </span><b>verifiche delle riserve</b><span style="font-weight: 400;"> periodiche e soddisfare rigorosi requisiti di </span><b>conoscenza del cliente (KYC)</b><span style="font-weight: 400;">.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">A fianco del </span><a href="https://www.ilsole24ore.com/art/stablecoin-trump-genius-act-e-rivoluzione-AHwx2dnB" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><b>GENIUS Act</b></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, sono stati approvati anche il </span><a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><b>CLARITY Act</b></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> e l’</span><b>Anti-CBDC</b><span style="font-weight: 400;"> Surveillance State Act, due misure che secondo lo Speaker della Camera Mike Johnson dimostrano la volontà dell’amministrazione Trump di fare delle crypto una “colonna portante dell’economia americana”.</span></p> <h2><span style="font-weight: 400;">Conclusione</span></h2> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">In questo contesto di rinnovato interesse normativo e afflussi istituzionali, l’obiettivo dei </span><b>125.000 $</b><span style="font-weight: 400;"> per</span><a href="https://www.tradingview.com/x/EKPSXHkZ/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;"> Bitcoin</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> non sembra più così distante. Tuttavia, con il tempo che stringe e la volatilità sempre dietro l’angolo, il mercato resta diviso tra entusiasmo e prudenza. Polymarket, intanto, continua a fungere da termometro per misurare il polso degli investitori in tempo reale.</span></p> <div class="jeg_post_tags"></div> <div class="trusted-editorial-content trusted-editorial-content--bottom"> <img src="https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/safe.png" class="trusted-editorial-content__icon"> <div class="trusted-editorial-content__text"><strong>Editorial Process</strong> for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. 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Ha collaborato con diverse testate scrivendo articoli su criptovalute, finanza decentralizzata e innovazione tecnologica, e ha partecipato come relatrice a conferenze dedicate all’ecosistema Ethereum. </p> </div> <div class="authorbox__button-wrapper"> <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/author/clararosati/" class="authorbox__button">Full Profile</a> </div> </div> </div><div class="jnews_related_post_container"><div class="jeg_postblock_21 jeg_postblock jeg_module_hook jeg_pagination_disable jeg_col_2o3 jnews_module_538334_0_68839804ad5c7 " data-unique="jnews_module_538334_0_68839804ad5c7"> <div class="jeg_block_heading jeg_block_heading_5 jeg_subcat_right"> <h3 class="jeg_block_title"><span>Related<strong> Posts</strong></span></h3> </div> <div class="jeg_block_container"> <div class="jeg_posts jeg_load_more_flag"><article class="jeg_post jeg_pl_sm format-standard"> <div class="jeg_thumb"> <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/hyper-ico-rises-solana-pengu-bitcoin-thailand/"><div 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