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</script> <div class="plc609690"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> var AdButler = AdButler || {}; AdButler.ads = AdButler.ads || []; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var plc609690 = window.plc609690 || 0; (function() { var divs = document.querySelectorAll(".plc609690:not([id])"); var div = divs[divs.length - 1]; div.id = "placement_609690_" + plc609690; AdButler.ads.push({ handler: function(opt) { AdButler.register(172179, 609690, [150, 45], 'placement_609690_' + opt.place, opt); }, opt: { place: plc609690++, keywords: abkw, domain: 'servedbyadbutler.com', click: 'CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER' } }); })(); </script> </div> </div> <div class="entry-header"> <h1 class="jeg_post_title">Bitcoin Sentiment Is Turning Bullish Again, But This Analyst Says It’s Not A Good Thing, Here’s Why</h1> <div class="jeg_meta_container"><div class="jeg_post_meta jeg_post_meta_2"> <div class="jeg_meta_author"> <div class="avatar-wrapper"><img alt='Sandra White' src='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/e3b0890710174519c343d856ace91e6ab66625ce57e44536cfe22467696f9eeb?s=80&d=mm&r=g' srcset='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/e3b0890710174519c343d856ace91e6ab66625ce57e44536cfe22467696f9eeb?s=160&d=mm&r=g 2x' class='avatar avatar-80 photo' height='80' width='80' decoding='async'/></div> <div class="jeg_meta_author_text"> <span class="meta_text">by</span> <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/author/sandrawhite/">Sandra White</a> </div> </div> <div class="jeg_meta_date_and_category"> <div class="jeg_meta_date"> <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/bitcoin-sentiment-turning-bullish/"> Last Updated: April 14, 2026 6:00 am </a> </div> <div class="meta-text middot">·</div> <div class="jeg_meta_category"> <span><span class="meta_text">Posted in</span> <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/category/bitcoin/" rel="category tag">Bitcoin</a> </span> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="jeg_ad jeg_article_top jnews_article_top_ads"> <div class='ads-wrapper 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<p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Bitcoin </span><a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/btc/bitcoin-price-smashes-74k-barrier/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;">has climbed back above</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> $73,000 from lows that saw the Crypto Fear & Greed Index in single-digit fear, and with that recovery has come a familiar chorus of the bottom is in, the </span><a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/expert-forecasts-bitcoin-surge-to-80000-amid-us-iran-ceasefire-and-oil-price-drop/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;">next leg up is approaching,</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> and the cycle is ready to turn bullish again. </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">One analyst on X, however, is not buying it, and his reasoning is based on one of the most consistent patterns in Bitcoin’s price history.</span></p> <h2>Why Rising Bullish Sentiment Can Cause More Downside</h2> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Bitcoin’s sentiment is </span><a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-poised-for-bullish-breakout-but-only-if-this-key-condition-is-met/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;">now slowly turning bullish again,</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> which is a reflection of its price action in recent days. However, according to crypto analyst Max, the gradual return of optimism across social media and trading circles </span><a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/too-early-bitcoin-price-bottom/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;">is a warning sign. </span></a></p><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article jnews_content_inline_ads "><div class='ads-wrapper align-center '><div class='ads_shortcode'><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Wide 1 (728x90) [asyncbeta] --> <script type="text/javascript">if (!window.AdButler){(function(){var s = document.createElement("script"); s.async = true; s.type = "text/javascript";s.src = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/app.js';var n = document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0]; n.parentNode.insertBefore(s, n);}());}</script> <div class="plc367529"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> var AdButler = AdButler || {}; AdButler.ads = AdButler.ads || []; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var plc367529 = window.plc367529 || 0; (function(){ var divs = document.querySelectorAll(".plc367529:not([id])"); var div = divs[divs.length-1]; div.id = "placement_367529_"+plc367529; AdButler.ads.push({handler: function(opt){ AdButler.register(172179, 367529, [728,90], 'placement_367529_'+opt.place, opt); }, opt: { place: plc367529++, keywords: abkw, domain: 'servedbyadbutler.com', click:'CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER' }}); })(); </script> </div> </div> </div></div></div></div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Max, who </span><a href="https://x.com/_ctm_crypto/status/2043087959780741264?s=20" rel="nofollow"><span style="font-weight: 400;">shared his outlook on X</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;"> alongside a multi-cycle Bitcoin chart, proposed that the re-emergence of bullish sentiment at this point is precisely what should concern investors. </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">“When sentiment slowly starts turning bullish again,” he wrote, “that’s usually your sign that the bottom isn’t in yet.”</span></p> <div class="related-reading-shortcode">Related Reading: <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/value-calculator-xrp-at-1632/">Value Calculator Puts XRP At $1,632, But Pundit Says You Shouldn’t Be Looking At Price</a></div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">Max pointed out that recent discussions around a cycle bottom forming already, along with predictions of a historic rally, mirror sentiment conditions that have always appeared before further downside moves. In short, the crowd turning optimistic too early could mean the market has not yet completed its corrective phase.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">This outlook is based on the fact that the Bitcoin price has not yet produced the structural conditions that have historically confirmed cycle lows. He identifies three specific cycle low signals that are currently absent on the Bitcoin chart: total capitulation, repeated sweeps of the lows, and a confirmed change in market structure on the weekly timeframe.</span></p><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article jnews_content_inline_2_ads "><div class='ads-wrapper align-center '><div class='ads_shortcode'><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Text Banner 2 [javascript] --> <script type="text/javascript"> var rnd = window.rnd || Math.floor(Math.random()*10e6); var pid609692 = window.pid609692 || rnd; var plc609692 = window.plc609692 || 0; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var absrc = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/adserve/;ID=172179;size=0x0;setID=609692;type=js;sw='+screen.width+';sh='+screen.height+';spr='+window.devicePixelRatio+';kw='+abkw+';pid='+pid609692+';place='+(plc609692++)+';rnd='+rnd+';click=CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER'; document.write('<scr'+'ipt src="'+absrc+'" type="text/javascript"></scr'+'ipt>'); </script> </div> </div> </div> <div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Wide 2 (728x90) [asyncbeta] --> <script type="text/javascript">if (!window.AdButler){(function(){var s = document.createElement("script"); s.async = true; s.type = "text/javascript";s.src = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/app.js';var n = document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0]; n.parentNode.insertBefore(s, n);}());}</script> <div class="plc476001"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> var AdButler = AdButler || {}; AdButler.ads = AdButler.ads || []; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var plc476001 = window.plc476001 || 0; (function(){ var divs = document.querySelectorAll(".plc476001:not([id])"); var div = divs[divs.length-1]; div.id = "placement_476001_"+plc476001; AdButler.ads.push({handler: function(opt){ AdButler.register(172179, 476001, [728,90], 'placement_476001_'+opt.place, opt); }, opt: { place: plc476001++, keywords: abkw, domain: 'servedbyadbutler.com', click:'CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER' }}); })(); </script> </div> </div> </div></div></div></div> <p><img data-recalc-dims="1" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-676093 aligncenter" src="https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Bitcoin-sentiment.png?w=512&resize=512%2C276" alt="Bitcoin sentiment" width="512" height="276" /></p> <p style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://x.com/_ctm_crypto/status/2043087959780741264?s=20" rel="nofollow"><span style="font-weight: 400;">Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @_ctm_crypto On X</span></a></p><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article jnews_content_inline_3_ads "><div class='ads-wrapper align-center '><div class='ads_shortcode'><div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Text Banner 3 [javascript] --> <script type="text/javascript"> var rnd = window.rnd || Math.floor(Math.random()*10e6); var pid609693 = window.pid609693 || rnd; var plc609693 = window.plc609693 || 0; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var absrc = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/adserve/;ID=172179;size=0x0;setID=609693;type=js;sw='+screen.width+';sh='+screen.height+';spr='+window.devicePixelRatio+';kw='+abkw+';pid='+pid609693+';place='+(plc609693++)+';rnd='+rnd+';click=CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER'; document.write('<scr'+'ipt src="'+absrc+'" type="text/javascript"></scr'+'ipt>'); </script> </div> </div> </div> <div class="jeg_ad jeg_ad_article"> <div class="ads-wrapper align-center"> <div class="ads_code"> <!-- Article Wide 3 (728x90) [asyncbeta] --> <script type="text/javascript">if (!window.AdButler){(function(){var s = document.createElement("script"); s.async = true; s.type = "text/javascript";s.src = 'https://servedbyadbutler.com/app.js';var n = document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0]; n.parentNode.insertBefore(s, n);}());}</script> <div class="plc476002"></div> <script type="text/javascript"> var AdButler = AdButler || {}; AdButler.ads = AdButler.ads || []; var abkw = window.abkw || ''; var plc476002 = window.plc476002 || 0; (function(){ var divs = document.querySelectorAll(".plc476002:not([id])"); var div = divs[divs.length-1]; div.id = "placement_476002_"+plc476002; AdButler.ads.push({handler: function(opt){ AdButler.register(172179, 476002, [728,90], 'placement_476002_'+opt.place, opt); }, opt: { place: plc476002++, keywords: abkw, domain: 'servedbyadbutler.com', click:'CLICK_MACRO_PLACEHOLDER' }}); })(); </script> </div> </div> </div></div></div></div> <h2>Cycle Timing Puts The Bottom In October</h2> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The most interesting part of this technical outlook is the cycle comparison overlaid by Max onto Bitcoin’s full price history. Previous Bitcoin cycles</span><a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/analysis/eth/bitcoin-price-turns-higher-72k/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;"> show a consistent rhythm </span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">of extended accumulation and expansion phases followed by lengthy corrections.</span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">From the 2013, 2018, and 2021 cycle tops, Bitcoin required around 365 days of decline before reaching a definitive bottom. Interestingly, each cycle was characterized by a smaller decline by the previous one. The 2013 top was followed by a 427-day decline of 87%, the 2018 top brought a 365-day drop of 83%, and the 2021 top saw a 365-day correction of about 75%. </span></p> <div class="related-reading-shortcode">Related Reading: <a href="https://bit-coinist.de/xrp-is-cheaper-than-swift-japan/">XRP Is Cheaper Than SWIFT: Japanese Banks’ Data Show Shocking Truth</a></div> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">The projected path suggests a similar structure is still playing out in the current cycle since the October 2025 peak. Projecting that structure forward from the 2025 cycle top, Max’s chart targets October 2026 </span><a href="https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-every-cycle-bottom/" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank"><span style="font-weight: 400;">as the likely bottom window</span></a><span style="font-weight: 400;">, with a projected price of $40,000. </span></p> <p><span style="font-weight: 400;">This bottom would align with both the duration and magnitude of previous bear phases, instead of the much faster recovery some market participants are expecting. </span><span style="font-weight: 400;">At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $74,590, up by 5.4% in the past 24 hours.</span></p> <figure style="width: 3280px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="size-medium" src="https://www.tradingview.com/x/RG9sSZUx/" alt="Bitcoin price chart from Tradingview.com" width="3280" height="1878" /><figcaption class="wp-caption-text">BTC clears $74,000 | Source: <a href="http://Tradingview.com" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">BTCUSD on Tradingview.com</a></figcaption></figure> <div class="disclaimer-shortcode">Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com</div> <div class="jeg_post_tags"></div> <div class="trusted-editorial-content trusted-editorial-content--bottom"> <img src="https://bit-coinist.de/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/safe.png" class="trusted-editorial-content__icon"> <div class="trusted-editorial-content__text"><strong>Editorial Process</strong> for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. 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